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surmise

surmise

3 7.9
An idea based on little evidence
  • noun
  • /sərˈmaɪz/
translation icon : conjetura
  • The bruise marks on her throat corroborated their immediate surmise.

Now, my theory on this, this is just my surmise, is that they were caught molesting little boys in Southeast Asia.

Examples

  • Had a Democrat been in the White House during the Reagan-Bush years, Pollak observed, "It is a fair surmise that Higginbotham would by now be on the Supreme Court."

    Academic text (1996)
  • "Yes," says Lindstrom, adding up his observations and seeing in Lemos's expression confirmation of his wild surmise.

    Fiction book (1994)
  • Neither surmise turned out quite as my advisors had anticipated.

    Academic text (2009)
  • But your surmise is more charitable, so, on second thought, I'm going with that.

    Blog text (22)
  • I have no idea which of these two surmises may be correct.

    Blog text (22)
  • So I smiled at the driver's surmise and did not object.

    Academic text (2002)
  • We have to piece together evidence and make surmises.

    Academic text (1997)
  • If my surmise is correct, those boots will cling to the killers' necks like a pair of Tiberian bats.

  • The etymological triplets mentioned by Casado Lobato certainly support this surmise.

    Academic text (1993)
  • The detective's surmise about the suspect's location proved to be accurate.

Synonyms

guess
vssurmise
768 1.0

An answer or opinion made without enough information

is a general tentative opinion formed from little evidence
assumption
vssurmise
513 3.5

A belief people accept as true without proof

is a tentative opinion from little evidence not a taken for granted belief
speculation
vssurmise
288 4.8

A guess or idea made without enough proof

is a narrower tentative opinion based mainly on little evidence
hunch
vssurmise
159 4.7

A guess based on a feeling rather than facts

is a reasoned idea from little evidence rather than a pure feeling
hypothesis
vssurmise
138 6.1

An idea that may explain something but is not yet proven

is a casual opinion from little evidence rather than a testable proposal
conclusion
vssurmise
48 2.7

A guess made without enough evidence

is a tentative opinion rather than a final judgment or result
conjecture
vssurmise
43 7.8

An opinion formed without enough proof, like a guess

is a simple opinion based on little evidence not a proposed theory
inference
vssurmise
42 5.7

A conclusion you reach from evidence and reasoning

is formed from little evidence rather than by careful reasoning and proof
suspicion
vssurmise
39 2.3

A feeling that something may be true even without proof

is a neutral opinion from little evidence rather than a distrustful feeling
presumption
vssurmise
  • Formal
26 6.9

A legal belief treated as true unless someone proves otherwise

is a tentative opinion based on little evidence rather than a legal inference
supposition
vssurmise
23 7.3

An idea that people accept as true without proof

is a tentative opinion rather than an accepted assumed truth
preconception
vssurmise
19 6.8

An opinion you form before you have enough facts that makes you judge unfairly

is formed from little evidence at the time rather than beforehand
presupposition
vssurmise
5 7.7

A belief people accept as true before they discuss something

is a tentative opinion formed from little evidence not a foundational assumption
guesstimate
vssurmise
  • Informal
5 6.8

A rough guess of an amount when you lack exact information

is a general opinion or conjecture rather than a rough numeric estimate
postulation
vssurmise
  • Specialized
1 9.3

An idea people accept without proof and use to build an argument

is a tentative idea from little evidence rather than a formal claimed axiom
supposal
vssurmise
1 9.5

An idea you think may be true

is a tentative conjecture based on little evidence rather than a supposed fact
surmisal
vssurmise
9.8

A guess without enough facts

is identical in sense but is the less common variant form

Antonyms

1.0

Something that can be shown to be true, not an opinion

certainty
  • Literature
202 3.4

A strong feeling that something is true or will happen

How Certain

theory
3.2
hypothesis
138 6.1
surmise
3 7.9
guess
768 1.0

Surface Forms

surmise singular
surmises plural

Etymology

Surmise comes from old parts sur- 'over' and mise 'put', a phrase that gives the image of 'putting an idea forward' above the facts. That's why a surmise is a guess based on little evidence.