contingent probability
- noun
- /kənˈtɪnʤənt prəˈbɑbɪlɪti/
- Specialized
:
probabilidad condicional
- To calculate the contingent probability of rain tomorrow, we must first know whether it rained today.
Examples
-
In this example, a contingent probability should be used when considering the skill levels together.
Academic text (2003) -
Understanding contingent probability is crucial for assessing risks in different scenarios.
-
The contingent probability of winning the lottery increases if you buy more tickets.
Synonyms
1
6.7
The chance that an event happens when you know another event already happened
How Likely
- Specialized
487
1.9
Surface Forms
Morphology
The meaning is directly compositional: 'contingent' (= conditional, depending on circumstances) modifies 'probability' (likelihood), so the phrase denotes the probability given some condition. This adjective+noun structure is a standard, transparent construction and has clear equivalents in many languages (e.g. Spanish 'probabilidad condicional'), so a B1 learner who knows the constituents should be able to infer the meaning.
Etymology
The term contingent probability comes from a simple picture: contingent means 'depending on' something else and probability means the 'chance' of something happening. So contingent probability is the chance that one event will happen 'if' another event has already happened.