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a bit of a crapshoot

a bit of a crapshoot

1 9.5
An uncertain situation whose result depends on chance
  • idiom
  • Slang
translation icon : un poco arriesgado

Examples

  • "It's a bit of a crapshoot; it always has been over the years, and it is what it is.

    Blog text (3)
  • It's always a bit of a crapshoot bringing in college coaches.

    Blog text (3)
  • So today's run was a bit of a crapshoot.

    Blog text (4)
  • It will always be a bit of a crapshoot.

    Blog text (20)
  • Choosing a restaurant in this area is always a bit of a crapshoot since you never know how good the food will be.

  • Investing in that startup felt like a bit of a crapshoot because there were no guarantees of success.

  • In terms of weather, planning an outdoor wedding in July can be a bit of a crapshoot due to unpredictable storms.

Synonyms

gamble
vsa bit of a crapshoot
65 3.5

A risky action with an uncertain result that may depend on chance

focuses more on unpredictability and casual tone than formal risk taking
toss-up
vsa bit of a crapshoot
  • Informal
20 6.2

A situation where two results have the same chance

covers broader uncertain cases not limited to only two outcomes
crapshoot
vsa bit of a crapshoot
  • NSFW
7 9.1

A risky situation where the result depends mostly on luck

is an informal phrase for the same risky, chance driven situation
real wobbler
vsa bit of a crapshoot
  • Slang
9.9

A situation that is very uncertain and likely to change

is the same idea but used more colloquially and with light tone
dice roll
vsa bit of a crapshoot
4.7

A choice with an uncertain result that may be risky

is the everyday phrase for that same chance based risky situation
throw of the dice
vsa bit of a crapshoot
6.5

A decision that depends mostly on chance

is a common metaphorical way to describe making a risky choice

Antonyms

77 2.4

Something that is certain to happen or succeed

14 3.7

A result that is sure to happen and cannot be changed

How Predictable

sure thing
77 2.4
a bit of a crapshoot
  • Slang
1 9.5
lottery
57 2.7

Surface Forms

Morphology

a + bit + of + a + crapshoot

The phrase combines the degree modifier 'a bit of a' with the noun 'crapshoot' (an uncertain activity), so the overall meaning 'somewhat risky or left to chance' is directly derivable from the parts. Although 'crapshoot' is informal/slang, the compositional pattern (degree phrase + noun) is regular and would be understandable to a B1 learner who knows the constituents.

Etymology

A bit of a crapshoot comes from the dice game 'craps', where a player would shoot the dice and the result was all luck. So calling something a bit of a crapshoot means it is 'uncertain' or only partly predictable.